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Definitive Analysis

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S-Enjoy Service Group Co., Limited (1755.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$102.11 - $222.51$208.52
Multi-Stage$33.45 - $36.62$35.01
Blended Fair Value$121.76
Current Price$2.90
Upside4,098.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.91%0.00%0.160.160.280.170.100.070.000.000.070.00
YoY Growth---0.35%-43.73%62.86%79.58%38.98%0.00%-100.00%-98.36%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.68%1.94%3.08%1.15%0.88%2.04%0.00%0.04%2.83%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)956.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)638.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)191.33119.5871.75
Cash Retained (M)638.79638.79638.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-191.33-119.58-71.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)447.46519.21567.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)855.03855.03855.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.610.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.610.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$102.11$208.52$222.51
Upside / Downside3,420.92%7,090.35%7,572.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)956.631,018.811,085.031,155.561,230.671,310.661,349.98
Payout Ratio33.22%44.58%55.93%67.29%78.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.84454.18606.91777.57967.861,179.601,248.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)422.76426.76430.77
Year 2 PV (M)525.83535.84545.95
Year 3 PV (M)627.08645.08663.42
Year 4 PV (M)726.53754.47783.21
Year 5 PV (M)824.20864.01905.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,476.1826,706.6927,984.30
Equity Value (M)28,602.5829,932.8631,313.00
Shares Outstanding (M)855.03855.03855.03
Fair Value$33.45$35.01$36.62
Upside / Downside1,053.52%1,107.17%1,162.83%

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