Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

AirTAC International Group (1590.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$769.19 - $1,688.32$1,105.28
Multi-Stage$574.98 - $626.99$600.52
Blended Fair Value$852.90
Current Price$753.00
Upside13.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.35%12.84%17.9713.4313.378.564.564.776.764.923.584.09
YoY Growth--33.75%0.45%56.30%87.49%-4.42%-29.41%37.51%37.45%-12.50%-23.81%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.17%1.13%0.92%0.46%1.07%1.62%0.99%1.23%2.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,873.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,594.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,278.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,574.66984.16590.50
Cash Retained (M)4,278.354,278.354,278.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,574.66-984.16-590.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,703.693,294.193,687.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.09200.09200.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.5116.4618.43
LTM Dividend per Share17.9717.9717.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.5116.4618.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.4834.4336.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$769.19$1,105.28$1,688.32
Upside / Downside2.15%46.78%124.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,873.318,385.078,930.109,510.5610,128.7510,787.1211,110.73
Payout Ratio45.66%54.53%63.40%72.26%81.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,594.964,572.225,661.336,872.718,217.669,708.4010,277.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,124.384,163.474,202.56
Year 2 PV (M)4,606.614,694.354,782.92
Year 3 PV (M)5,044.555,189.365,336.91
Year 4 PV (M)5,440.935,650.175,865.39
Year 5 PV (M)5,798.356,078.416,369.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)90,035.9294,384.6998,899.90
Equity Value (M)115,050.74120,160.46125,456.89
Shares Outstanding (M)200.09200.09200.09
Fair Value$574.98$600.52$626.99
Upside / Downside-23.64%-20.25%-16.73%

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