Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

3SBio Inc. (1530.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.02 - $74.56$47.92
Multi-Stage$23.64 - $25.82$24.71
Blended Fair Value$36.31
Current Price$21.57
Upside68.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS102.41%-1.70%0.230.090.170.000.000.010.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth--146.83%-46.09%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-89.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.96%1.35%2.32%0.00%0.00%0.07%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,017.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)779.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,237.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)803.44502.15301.29
Cash Retained (M)3,237.223,237.223,237.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-803.44-502.15-301.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,433.782,735.072,935.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,454.552,454.552,454.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.111.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.111.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$33.02$47.92$74.56
Upside / Downside53.11%122.16%245.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,017.194,278.304,556.394,852.565,167.975,503.895,669.01
Payout Ratio19.42%33.53%47.65%61.77%75.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)779.971,434.632,171.102,997.253,921.624,953.505,243.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,295.701,307.981,320.26
Year 2 PV (M)1,770.961,804.691,838.74
Year 3 PV (M)2,208.092,271.482,336.07
Year 4 PV (M)2,609.312,709.652,812.87
Year 5 PV (M)2,976.713,120.493,269.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,154.5449,432.1351,796.88
Equity Value (M)58,015.3260,646.4263,374.59
Shares Outstanding (M)2,454.552,454.552,454.55
Fair Value$23.64$24.71$25.82
Upside / Downside9.58%14.55%19.70%

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