Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KG Eco Solution Co.,Ltd. (151860.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87,618.12 - $361,436.69$225,615.69
Multi-Stage$43,223.61 - $47,286.96$45,218.09
Blended Fair Value$135,416.89
Current Price$5,650.00
Upside2,296.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS36.14%0.00%390.19342.94245.79233.4691.7983.450.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13.78%39.53%5.28%154.34%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.13%3.61%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76,369.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,559.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,809.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,273.859,546.155,727.69
Cash Retained (M)52,809.5352,809.5352,809.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,273.85-9,546.15-5,727.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)37,535.6843,263.3847,081.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.0242.0242.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share893.261,029.571,120.44
LTM Dividend per Share560.66560.66560.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share893.261,029.571,120.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,453.931,590.231,681.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87,618.12$225,615.69$361,436.69
Upside / Downside1,450.76%3,893.20%6,297.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76,369.2381,333.2386,619.8992,250.1998,246.45104,632.47107,771.44
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,559.7034,712.8547,216.3661,198.6776,799.2094,169.2299,688.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32,062.1932,366.0932,670.00
Year 2 PV (M)40,280.8241,048.0641,822.53
Year 3 PV (M)48,222.6149,606.9151,017.45
Year 4 PV (M)55,894.4058,043.9460,254.89
Year 5 PV (M)63,302.8866,360.4369,535.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,576,536.571,652,683.881,731,745.52
Equity Value (M)1,816,299.471,900,109.311,987,045.40
Shares Outstanding (M)42.0242.0242.02
Fair Value$43,223.61$45,218.09$47,286.96
Upside / Downside665.02%700.32%736.94%

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