Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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GTM Holdings Corporation (1437.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$352.89 - $415.77$389.63
Multi-Stage$74.26 - $81.26$77.70
Blended Fair Value$233.66
Current Price$30.70
Upside661.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.71%89.39%1.130.800.900.701.100.500.470.480.000.00
YoY Growth--41.25%-11.11%28.57%-36.36%120.00%5.00%-0.51%35,297.82%-10.42%-20.67%
Dividend Yield--3.38%2.48%3.15%2.52%4.55%2.65%2.56%2.74%0.01%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)426.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)274.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)152.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.3553.3532.01
Cash Retained (M)152.22152.22152.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.35-53.35-32.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.8798.88120.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)204.14204.14204.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.480.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.480.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.671.831.93
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$352.89$389.63$415.77
Upside / Downside1,049.48%1,169.16%1,254.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)426.77454.51484.06515.52549.03584.72602.26
Payout Ratio64.33%69.47%74.60%79.73%84.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)274.55315.73361.10411.04465.94526.25557.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)295.19297.99300.79
Year 2 PV (M)315.66321.67327.74
Year 3 PV (M)335.94345.58355.41
Year 4 PV (M)356.04369.73383.82
Year 5 PV (M)375.97394.13412.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,480.7014,131.8214,807.86
Equity Value (M)15,159.4915,860.9216,588.59
Shares Outstanding (M)204.14204.14204.14
Fair Value$74.26$77.70$81.26
Upside / Downside141.89%153.08%164.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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