Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CK Asset Holdings Limited (1113.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.60 - $106.95$87.00
Multi-Stage$171.99 - $189.41$180.53
Blended Fair Value$133.76
Current Price$34.60
Upside286.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.42%2.39%2.002.312.292.012.162.041.831.661.569.21
YoY Growth---13.68%1.13%13.63%-6.77%5.89%11.31%10.73%6.27%-83.08%483.89%
Dividend Yield--6.26%6.01%4.76%4.10%5.43%3.63%3.20%2.40%3.28%18.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,112.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,876.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,236.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,422.403,389.002,033.40
Cash Retained (M)13,236.0013,236.0013,236.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,422.40-3,389.00-2,033.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,813.609,847.0011,202.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,529.853,529.853,529.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.212.793.17
LTM Dividend per Share3.933.933.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.212.793.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.146.727.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.42%-1.42%-0.42%
Fair Value$69.60$87.00$106.95
Upside / Downside101.15%151.45%209.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,112.0026,727.0126,347.4825,973.3525,604.5225,240.9425,998.17
Payout Ratio51.18%58.94%66.71%74.47%82.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,876.0015,754.0317,575.9219,342.9021,056.1522,716.8424,048.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.42%-1.42%-0.42%
Year 1 PV (M)14,684.5014,834.9914,985.48
Year 2 PV (M)15,270.5015,585.0915,902.89
Year 3 PV (M)15,664.7816,151.3316,647.86
Year 4 PV (M)15,894.5916,556.2317,238.31
Year 5 PV (M)15,984.0216,820.0017,690.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)529,590.50557,288.64586,133.75
Equity Value (M)607,088.90637,236.28668,598.88
Shares Outstanding (M)3,529.853,529.853,529.85
Fair Value$171.99$180.53$189.41
Upside / Downside397.07%421.76%447.44%

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