Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Resources Land Limited (1109.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,024.36 - $1,677.74$1,572.29
Multi-Stage$271.74 - $297.52$284.39
Blended Fair Value$928.34
Current Price$26.60
Upside3,390.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.03%17.26%1.441.481.461.251.091.080.820.600.500.40
YoY Growth---2.79%1.92%16.55%14.77%1.12%31.66%36.63%18.73%24.73%37.70%
Dividend Yield--6.39%5.60%4.07%3.81%3.40%2.77%2.72%2.52%2.89%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60,157.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,921.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,236.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,031.577,519.734,511.84
Cash Retained (M)38,236.7738,236.7738,236.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,031.57-7,519.73-4,511.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,205.2030,717.0433,724.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,130.947,130.947,130.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.674.314.73
LTM Dividend per Share3.073.073.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.674.314.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.757.387.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,024.36$1,572.29$1,677.74
Upside / Downside3,750.96%5,810.87%6,207.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60,157.8564,068.1168,232.5372,667.6577,391.0582,421.4684,894.11
Payout Ratio36.44%47.15%57.86%68.58%79.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,921.0830,209.0239,481.7749,832.3561,361.7074,179.3278,527.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,179.6128,446.7228,713.83
Year 2 PV (M)34,355.2835,009.6535,670.20
Year 3 PV (M)40,448.9041,610.0442,793.20
Year 4 PV (M)46,461.2848,248.0550,085.86
Year 5 PV (M)52,393.2154,923.8357,551.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,735,918.331,819,763.831,906,818.30
Equity Value (M)1,937,756.622,028,002.122,121,632.67
Shares Outstanding (M)7,130.947,130.947,130.94
Fair Value$271.74$284.39$297.52
Upside / Downside921.58%969.15%1,018.51%

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