Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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APAC Resources Limited (1104.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.13 - $6.29$5.14
Multi-Stage$8.65 - $9.52$9.07
Blended Fair Value$7.11
Current Price$0.96
Upside640.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.060.090.190.090.090.020.010.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-37.37%-51.56%113.66%0.00%343.90%101.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.55%8.61%15.61%7.02%10.70%1.93%0.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)633.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)419.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.7879.2447.54
Cash Retained (M)419.21419.21419.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.78-79.24-47.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.43339.98371.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.021,356.021,356.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.13$5.14$6.29
Upside / Downside330.23%435.75%555.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)633.89627.55621.28615.07608.92602.83620.91
Payout Ratio33.87%45.09%56.32%67.55%78.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.68282.99349.90415.46479.66542.54574.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)262.11264.79267.46
Year 2 PV (M)300.19306.35312.57
Year 3 PV (M)330.13340.34350.76
Year 4 PV (M)353.04367.67382.75
Year 5 PV (M)369.86389.12409.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,108.4410,634.8111,182.89
Equity Value (M)11,723.7812,303.0812,905.60
Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.021,356.021,356.02
Fair Value$8.65$9.07$9.52
Upside / Downside800.59%845.10%891.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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