Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongsung Chemical Co., Ltd. (102260.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76,771.21 - $154,566.47$144,851.42
Multi-Stage$24,173.82 - $26,442.26$25,287.26
Blended Fair Value$85,069.34
Current Price$4,195.00
Upside1,927.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.22%9.44%399.37403.64202.04478.50379.62257.00229.57293.92330.41264.38
YoY Growth---1.06%99.78%-57.78%26.05%47.71%11.95%-21.89%-11.04%24.97%63.21%
Dividend Yield--10.99%8.33%4.60%10.04%6.63%8.73%4.33%4.42%5.57%4.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38,158.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,308.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,850.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,631.684,769.802,861.88
Cash Retained (M)14,850.0414,850.0414,850.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,631.68-4,769.80-2,861.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,218.3610,080.2411,988.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.1049.1049.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share147.02205.31244.17
LTM Dividend per Share474.74474.74474.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share147.02205.31244.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend621.76680.05718.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76,771.21$144,851.42$154,566.47
Upside / Downside1,730.06%3,352.95%3,584.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38,158.3940,638.6943,280.2046,093.4149,089.4952,280.3053,848.71
Payout Ratio61.08%66.87%72.65%78.43%84.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,308.3527,173.6831,443.0236,152.5741,341.5147,052.2749,810.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25,310.2025,550.1125,790.02
Year 2 PV (M)27,278.3927,797.9728,322.44
Year 3 PV (M)29,213.3230,051.9330,906.43
Year 4 PV (M)31,115.4032,312.0133,542.80
Year 5 PV (M)32,985.0334,578.2236,232.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,040,959.581,091,238.321,143,441.34
Equity Value (M)1,186,861.921,241,528.551,298,235.42
Shares Outstanding (M)49.1049.1049.10
Fair Value$24,173.82$25,287.26$26,442.26
Upside / Downside476.25%502.80%530.33%

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