Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bank of Montreal (0UKH.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$603.31 - $2,394.73$1,639.25
Multi-Stage$297.45 - $325.08$311.01
Blended Fair Value$975.13
Current Price$179.96
Upside441.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.24%8.95%6.965.313.743.594.123.423.813.572.783.07
YoY Growth--31.02%42.06%4.16%-12.92%20.40%-10.07%6.58%28.46%-9.42%3.93%
Dividend Yield--3.87%3.66%2.92%2.70%2.87%3.20%3.67%3.92%2.71%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,709.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,031.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,741.801,088.63653.18
Cash Retained (M)3,678.003,678.003,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,741.80-1,088.63-653.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,936.202,589.383,024.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)723.26723.26723.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.584.18
LTM Dividend per Share6.966.966.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.584.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.6310.5411.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$603.31$1,639.25$2,394.73
Upside / Downside235.25%810.90%1,230.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,709.009,275.099,877.9710,520.0311,203.8411,932.0812,290.05
Payout Ratio57.77%64.21%70.66%77.11%83.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,031.005,955.936,979.848,111.709,361.2010,738.8811,368.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,504.535,556.705,608.88
Year 2 PV (M)5,961.936,075.496,190.12
Year 3 PV (M)6,403.606,587.426,774.73
Year 4 PV (M)6,829.917,092.577,362.73
Year 5 PV (M)7,241.247,590.997,954.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)183,190.56192,038.73201,225.54
Equity Value (M)215,131.76224,941.90235,116.13
Shares Outstanding (M)723.26723.26723.26
Fair Value$297.45$311.01$325.08
Upside / Downside65.29%72.82%80.64%

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