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Definitive Analysis

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Credicorp Ltd. (0U8N.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,364.32 - $16,152.29$15,137.06
Multi-Stage$2,372.69 - $2,594.19$2,481.42
Blended Fair Value$8,809.24
Current Price$923.89
Upside853.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.41%23.91%46.0425.0515.035.0130.0628.0614.2028.048.216.78
YoY Growth--83.78%66.67%200.00%-83.33%7.14%97.56%-49.36%241.67%20.99%25.75%
Dividend Yield--6.74%3.99%3.02%0.79%6.03%5.72%1.77%3.80%1.55%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,465.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,275.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,189.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,293.02808.14484.88
Cash Retained (M)2,189.312,189.312,189.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,293.02-808.14-484.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)896.291,381.171,704.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.6079.6079.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.2617.3521.41
LTM Dividend per Share53.7153.7153.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.2617.3521.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend64.9771.0775.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,364.32$15,137.06$16,152.29
Upside / Downside588.86%1,538.41%1,648.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,465.086,885.317,332.867,809.498,317.118,857.729,123.45
Payout Ratio66.14%70.91%75.68%80.45%85.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,275.774,882.315,549.646,283.097,088.457,971.958,439.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,538.004,581.024,624.03
Year 2 PV (M)4,794.504,885.824,978.00
Year 3 PV (M)5,045.345,190.185,337.76
Year 4 PV (M)5,290.635,494.095,703.37
Year 5 PV (M)5,530.445,797.566,074.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)163,669.82171,575.13179,783.00
Equity Value (M)188,868.73197,523.80206,501.07
Shares Outstanding (M)79.6079.6079.60
Fair Value$2,372.69$2,481.42$2,594.19
Upside / Downside156.81%168.58%180.79%

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