Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cosmo Pharmaceuticals N.V. (0RGI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$316.34 - $1,536.90$678.21
Multi-Stage$173.20 - $189.28$181.10
Blended Fair Value$429.66
Current Price$60.87
Upside605.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%8.45%1.991.050.970.000.000.000.001.401.220.00
YoY Growth--90.02%8.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%14.24%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.93%1.91%1.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.12%0.77%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.9615.609.36
Cash Retained (M)63.9863.9863.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.96-15.60-9.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.0248.3854.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.1516.1516.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.423.003.38
LTM Dividend per Share3.773.773.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.423.003.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.186.767.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$316.34$678.21$1,536.90
Upside / Downside419.70%1,014.20%2,424.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124.81132.92141.56150.77160.57171.00176.13
Payout Ratio48.74%56.99%65.24%73.49%81.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.8375.7592.36110.80131.26153.90162.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)69.7770.4371.09
Year 2 PV (M)78.3479.8381.34
Year 3 PV (M)86.5689.0491.57
Year 4 PV (M)94.4398.06101.80
Year 5 PV (M)101.97106.89112.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,366.292,480.582,599.25
Equity Value (M)2,797.342,924.833,057.04
Shares Outstanding (M)16.1516.1516.15
Fair Value$173.20$181.10$189.28
Upside / Downside184.55%197.51%210.96%

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