Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

DKSH Holding AG (0QQE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$107.57 - $228.82$152.89
Multi-Stage$153.87 - $168.63$161.11
Blended Fair Value$157.00
Current Price$61.60
Upside154.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.96%7.51%2.242.142.051.951.901.851.654.501.301.15
YoY Growth--4.66%4.80%5.05%2.59%2.74%12.12%-63.34%245.98%13.10%5.65%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.67%2.91%2.59%2.85%3.51%2.43%5.27%1.86%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)385.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)298.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.0448.1528.89
Cash Retained (M)86.5086.5086.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.04-48.15-28.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.4638.3557.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.1165.1165.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.590.88
LTM Dividend per Share4.594.594.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.590.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.735.185.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.96%2.96%3.96%
Fair Value$107.57$152.89$228.82
Upside / Downside74.63%148.19%271.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)385.20396.61408.36420.46432.92445.74459.11
Payout Ratio77.54%80.04%82.53%85.02%87.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)298.70317.43337.01357.46378.84401.17424.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.96%2.96%3.96%
Year 1 PV (M)295.30298.20301.09
Year 2 PV (M)291.66297.41303.21
Year 3 PV (M)287.80296.35305.07
Year 4 PV (M)283.75295.05306.68
Year 5 PV (M)279.53293.51308.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,579.579,008.639,454.68
Equity Value (M)10,017.6110,489.1410,978.78
Shares Outstanding (M)65.1165.1165.11
Fair Value$153.87$161.11$168.63
Upside / Downside149.78%161.54%173.75%

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