Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

dormakaba Holding AG (0QMS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.50 - $99.02$70.53
Multi-Stage$103.37 - $113.65$108.41
Blended Fair Value$89.47
Current Price$72.50
Upside23.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.81%-2.19%0.790.941.141.231.031.571.471.391.195.69
YoY Growth---15.83%-17.26%-7.85%19.45%-34.29%6.91%6.14%16.27%-79.06%475.84%
Dividend Yield--1.09%2.00%2.83%2.97%1.64%3.05%2.02%2.00%1.43%8.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)140.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.0217.5110.51
Cash Retained (M)66.8066.8066.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.02-17.51-10.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.7849.2956.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.2742.2742.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.921.171.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.921.171.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.652.903.07
WACC / Discount Rate5.65%5.65%5.65%
Growth Rate0.48%1.48%2.48%
Fair Value$51.50$70.53$99.02
Upside / Downside-28.96%-2.72%36.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)140.10142.17144.26146.39148.55150.74155.27
Payout Ratio52.32%59.86%67.39%74.93%82.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.3085.1097.22109.69122.50135.67143.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.65%5.65%5.65%
Growth Rate0.48%1.48%2.48%
Year 1 PV (M)79.7580.5581.34
Year 2 PV (M)85.4087.1088.83
Year 3 PV (M)90.3093.0295.80
Year 4 PV (M)94.5198.33102.27
Year 5 PV (M)98.10103.08108.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,921.334,120.404,327.46
Equity Value (M)4,369.394,582.484,803.95
Shares Outstanding (M)42.2742.2742.27
Fair Value$103.37$108.41$113.65
Upside / Downside42.58%49.53%56.76%

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