Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Graubündner Kantonalbank (0QLT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,159.82 - $11,839.40$6,497.58
Multi-Stage$7,938.46 - $8,731.70$8,327.44
Blended Fair Value$7,412.51
Current Price$1,760.00
Upside321.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.50%1.98%47.6842.6642.6640.1540.1540.1540.1538.1538.1538.15
YoY Growth--11.76%0.00%6.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.26%0.00%0.00%-2.70%
Dividend Yield--2.74%2.51%2.54%2.54%2.60%2.72%2.76%2.65%2.53%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)435.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)171.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)263.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.1354.4632.67
Cash Retained (M)263.77263.77263.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.13-54.46-32.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)176.64209.31231.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.492.492.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share70.9384.0592.79
LTM Dividend per Share69.0169.0169.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share70.9384.0592.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend139.94153.06161.81
WACC / Discount Rate4.91%4.91%4.91%
Growth Rate1.50%2.50%3.50%
Fair Value$4,159.82$6,497.58$11,839.40
Upside / Downside136.35%269.18%572.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)435.64446.52457.67469.10480.81492.81507.60
Payout Ratio39.45%49.56%59.67%69.78%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)171.88221.31273.10327.34384.12443.53469.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.91%4.91%4.91%
Growth Rate1.50%2.50%3.50%
Year 1 PV (M)208.89210.95213.00
Year 2 PV (M)243.31248.13252.99
Year 3 PV (M)275.27283.49291.87
Year 4 PV (M)304.89317.09329.64
Year 5 PV (M)332.30348.99366.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,405.5519,330.3020,291.85
Equity Value (M)19,770.2120,738.9421,745.71
Shares Outstanding (M)2.492.492.49
Fair Value$7,938.46$8,327.44$8,731.70
Upside / Downside351.05%373.15%396.12%

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