Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Creades AB (0QI9.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.39 - $119.90$99.19
Multi-Stage$103.92 - $113.93$108.83
Blended Fair Value$104.01
Current Price$75.20
Upside38.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%0.00%1.551.401.401.341.931.291.361.290.000.00
YoY Growth--10.53%0.00%4.40%-30.53%49.71%-4.89%5.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%2.00%1.74%1.21%2.33%2.97%3.86%4.02%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,298.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)216.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,082.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)259.60162.2597.35
Cash Retained (M)1,082.001,082.001,082.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-259.60-162.25-97.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)822.40919.75984.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.76135.76135.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.066.777.25
LTM Dividend per Share1.591.591.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.066.777.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.658.378.84
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Fair Value$80.39$99.19$119.90
Upside / Downside6.91%31.90%59.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,298.001,316.721,335.701,354.961,374.501,394.321,436.15
Payout Ratio16.64%31.31%45.98%60.66%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)216.00412.30614.22821.871,035.381,254.891,328.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Year 1 PV (M)371.13374.83378.52
Year 2 PV (M)497.68507.64517.69
Year 3 PV (M)599.44617.52635.96
Year 4 PV (M)679.76707.23735.54
Year 5 PV (M)741.60779.26818.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,218.5211,788.2112,380.81
Equity Value (M)14,108.1214,774.6815,466.96
Shares Outstanding (M)135.76135.76135.76
Fair Value$103.92$108.83$113.93
Upside / Downside38.19%44.72%51.50%

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