Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Etn. Fr. Colruyt NV (0N4Y.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.35 - $247.08$187.26
Multi-Stage$264.46 - $290.87$277.41
Blended Fair Value$232.34
Current Price$38.00
Upside511.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.04%1.24%1.371.811.121.561.461.441.361.371.321.20
YoY Growth---24.46%61.90%-28.40%6.72%1.55%6.31%-0.76%3.51%9.92%-0.66%
Dividend Yield--3.60%4.31%4.15%4.16%2.88%2.92%2.08%3.04%2.87%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,388.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)397.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)990.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)277.64173.53104.12
Cash Retained (M)990.60990.60990.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-277.64-173.53-104.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)712.96817.08886.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)125.15125.15125.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.706.537.08
LTM Dividend per Share3.183.183.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.706.537.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.879.7110.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate0.09%1.09%2.09%
Fair Value$142.35$187.26$247.08
Upside / Downside274.60%392.79%550.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,388.201,403.301,418.561,433.991,449.591,465.361,509.32
Payout Ratio28.64%40.91%53.18%65.46%77.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)397.60574.13754.46938.641,126.741,318.821,396.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate0.09%1.09%2.09%
Year 1 PV (M)534.63539.97545.31
Year 2 PV (M)654.21667.35680.61
Year 3 PV (M)757.91780.86804.26
Year 4 PV (M)847.19881.56916.96
Year 5 PV (M)923.39970.441,019.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,381.6430,879.0632,436.92
Equity Value (M)33,098.9734,719.2436,403.47
Shares Outstanding (M)125.15125.15125.15
Fair Value$264.46$277.41$290.87
Upside / Downside595.96%630.03%665.44%

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