Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Ticker

Industry

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Synergie SE (0HDQ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.50 - $57.08$48.05
Multi-Stage$60.83 - $66.89$63.80
Blended Fair Value$55.93
Current Price$32.00
Upside74.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.820.830.830.000.830.830.620.620.42
YoY Growth---100.00%-1.36%-0.02%0.00%-100.00%-0.06%33.31%0.04%49.97%33.20%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.33%2.77%2.29%0.00%2.85%3.41%1.40%1.78%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.2515.789.47
Cash Retained (M)114.83114.83114.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.25-15.78-9.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.5899.05105.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.0523.0523.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.894.304.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.894.304.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Fair Value$39.50$48.05$57.08
Upside / Downside23.45%50.17%78.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.26125.35124.45123.56122.67121.79125.45
Payout Ratio9.05%25.24%41.43%57.62%73.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.4331.6451.5671.2090.55109.61116.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Year 1 PV (M)28.6928.9829.27
Year 2 PV (M)42.3943.2644.13
Year 3 PV (M)53.0754.7056.37
Year 4 PV (M)61.1963.7266.32
Year 5 PV (M)67.1670.6574.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,149.831,209.531,271.69
Equity Value (M)1,402.321,470.831,542.06
Shares Outstanding (M)23.0523.0523.05
Fair Value$60.83$63.80$66.89
Upside / Downside90.09%99.38%109.03%

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