Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chaowei Power Holdings Limited (0951.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.49 - $4.98$4.23
Multi-Stage$9.19 - $10.16$9.67
Blended Fair Value$6.95
Current Price$1.21
Upside474.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.04%-5.44%0.050.060.070.100.080.060.060.070.090.00
YoY Growth---20.43%-17.84%-23.91%29.36%33.17%-9.18%-8.82%-24.20%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.48%4.83%4.97%5.86%2.82%2.22%2.34%1.81%1.52%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)587.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)467.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.5673.4844.09
Cash Retained (M)467.17467.17467.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.56-73.48-44.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)349.61393.69423.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Fair Value$3.49$4.23$4.98
Upside / Downside188.65%249.19%311.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)587.82564.06541.26519.38498.39478.24492.59
Payout Ratio20.52%34.42%48.31%62.21%76.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.65194.15261.51323.11379.30430.42455.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)180.33182.23184.13
Year 2 PV (M)225.62230.40235.22
Year 3 PV (M)258.93267.20275.64
Year 4 PV (M)282.34294.42306.89
Year 5 PV (M)297.60313.60330.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,905.429,384.329,883.60
Equity Value (M)10,150.2410,672.1711,215.76
Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
Fair Value$9.19$9.67$10.16
Upside / Downside659.75%698.82%739.51%

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