Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Partron Co., Ltd. (091700.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,481.84 - $16,200.80$11,585.43
Multi-Stage$12,754.44 - $13,993.27$13,362.10
Blended Fair Value$12,473.77
Current Price$6,370.00
Upside95.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.98%-1.97%246.99302.76361.46235.98333.53203.19212.89240.60243.80248.83
YoY Growth---18.42%-16.24%53.17%-29.25%64.15%-4.56%-11.52%-1.31%-2.02%-17.47%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.78%4.38%2.17%3.12%2.66%1.58%2.77%2.12%2.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,275.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,139.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,136.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,855.183,659.492,195.69
Cash Retained (M)14,136.3914,136.3914,136.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,855.18-3,659.49-2,195.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,281.2110,476.9011,940.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
LTM Dividend per Share282.43282.43282.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.91477.87505.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Fair Value$8,481.84$11,585.43$16,200.80
Upside / Downside33.15%81.87%154.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,275.8929,992.9530,727.5731,480.1832,251.2333,041.1634,032.39
Payout Ratio51.71%59.37%67.03%74.69%82.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,139.5117,806.9820,596.0523,511.0626,556.5129,737.0431,479.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)16,529.7916,692.7316,855.67
Year 2 PV (M)17,747.5318,099.1418,454.19
Year 3 PV (M)18,806.3019,367.9319,940.63
Year 4 PV (M)19,718.7420,507.7921,320.29
Year 5 PV (M)20,496.6521,526.9522,598.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)590,406.18620,084.10650,943.66
Equity Value (M)683,705.20716,278.64750,112.72
Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
Fair Value$12,754.44$13,362.10$13,993.27
Upside / Downside100.23%109.77%119.67%

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