Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Green Chemical Co., Ltd. (083420.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,734.55 - $80,519.56$32,211.03
Multi-Stage$12,669.55 - $13,878.64$13,262.85
Blended Fair Value$22,736.94
Current Price$6,990.00
Upside225.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.34%5.99%230.84230.84230.83210.76192.07134.93136.83352.82137.69137.69
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%9.52%9.73%42.34%-1.38%-61.22%156.25%0.00%6.67%
Dividend Yield--4.16%2.97%2.10%2.07%1.38%4.65%4.67%9.22%3.81%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,544.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,598.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,946.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,908.861,193.04715.82
Cash Retained (M)3,946.013,946.013,946.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,908.86-1,193.04-715.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,037.142,752.973,230.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
LTM Dividend per Share240.88240.88240.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend328.53359.33379.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Fair Value$15,734.55$32,211.03$80,519.56
Upside / Downside125.10%360.82%1,051.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,544.3210,020.1310,519.6511,044.0811,594.6512,172.6712,537.85
Payout Ratio58.66%64.92%71.19%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,598.326,505.557,489.328,555.019,708.3410,955.4011,597.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Year 1 PV (M)6,069.906,128.276,186.64
Year 2 PV (M)6,519.846,645.856,773.05
Year 3 PV (M)6,948.857,151.267,357.56
Year 4 PV (M)7,357.577,644.707,940.16
Year 5 PV (M)7,746.678,126.408,520.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)259,814.23272,549.68285,779.71
Equity Value (M)294,457.06308,246.15322,557.98
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
Fair Value$12,669.55$13,262.85$13,878.64
Upside / Downside81.25%89.74%98.55%

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