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Definitive Analysis

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VITZROCELL Co.,Ltd. (082920.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,931.69 - $14,162.35$12,010.12
Multi-Stage$15,223.44 - $16,725.52$15,959.92
Blended Fair Value$13,985.02
Current Price$14,125.00
Upside-0.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%141.14108.0381.5065.9254.930.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.64%32.55%23.64%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.19%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57,553.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,334.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)47,218.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,510.637,194.144,316.49
Cash Retained (M)47,218.2247,218.2247,218.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,510.63-7,194.14-4,316.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,707.5940,024.0742,901.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.2139.2139.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share910.701,020.791,094.19
LTM Dividend per Share263.59263.59263.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share910.701,020.791,094.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,174.291,284.381,357.78
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9,931.69$12,010.12$14,162.35
Upside / Downside-29.69%-14.97%0.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57,553.1656,977.6356,407.8555,843.7755,285.3354,732.4856,374.46
Payout Ratio17.96%32.37%46.77%61.18%75.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,334.9418,441.2526,384.3934,166.8341,790.9849,259.2352,146.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16,657.9416,827.9216,997.90
Year 2 PV (M)21,528.2621,969.8622,415.94
Year 3 PV (M)25,182.4325,961.2126,755.89
Year 4 PV (M)27,823.1628,976.3030,164.92
Year 5 PV (M)29,623.9231,166.5032,772.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)476,076.49500,866.90526,679.43
Equity Value (M)596,892.20625,768.69655,786.76
Shares Outstanding (M)39.2139.2139.21
Fair Value$15,223.44$15,959.92$16,725.52
Upside / Downside7.78%12.99%18.41%

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