Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IGG Inc (0799.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.52 - $154.08$58.94
Multi-Stage$98.94 - $109.37$104.05
Blended Fair Value$81.50
Current Price$4.40
Upside1,752.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.40%-0.16%0.080.000.000.690.710.320.350.560.250.25
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-2.98%122.87%-9.54%-37.59%123.82%0.10%194.97%
Dividend Yield--2.07%0.00%0.00%9.93%8.73%5.53%3.28%6.58%4.82%7.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,336.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)170.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,166.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)267.39167.12100.27
Cash Retained (M)1,166.291,166.291,166.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-267.39-167.12-100.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)898.90999.171,066.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.411,160.411,160.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.860.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.860.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.921.011.07
WACC / Discount Rate0.53%0.53%0.53%
Growth Rate-2.16%-1.16%-0.16%
Fair Value$33.52$58.94$154.08
Upside / Downside661.75%1,239.55%3,401.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,336.951,321.441,306.121,290.971,275.991,261.201,299.03
Payout Ratio12.76%28.21%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)170.66372.80570.24763.04951.291,135.081,201.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.53%0.53%0.53%
Growth Rate-2.16%-1.16%-0.16%
Year 1 PV (M)367.08370.84374.59
Year 2 PV (M)552.87564.23575.71
Year 3 PV (M)728.45751.02774.04
Year 4 PV (M)894.24931.36969.63
Year 5 PV (M)1,050.631,105.431,162.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)111,220.71117,021.89123,062.65
Equity Value (M)114,813.99120,744.76126,919.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.411,160.411,160.41
Fair Value$98.94$104.05$109.37
Upside / Downside2,148.69%2,264.85%2,385.78%

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