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Definitive Analysis

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GS Holdings Corp. (078930.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$601,245.10 - $1,196,436.59$1,121,236.30
Multi-Stage$189,761.17 - $207,455.59$198,446.75
Blended Fair Value$659,841.52
Current Price$45,950.00
Upside1,336.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.17%9.71%4,299.604,965.713,303.991,900.882,686.102,420.922,144.461,981.711,816.721,461.26
YoY Growth---13.41%50.29%73.81%-29.23%10.95%12.89%8.21%9.08%24.33%-14.13%
Dividend Yield--11.68%10.39%8.18%4.33%6.87%6.58%4.04%3.19%3.07%2.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)569,573.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)447,491.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)122,082.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113,914.6071,196.6342,717.98
Cash Retained (M)122,082.00122,082.00122,082.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-113,914.60-71,196.63-42,717.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,167.4050,885.3879,364.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.6894.6894.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.27537.47838.27
LTM Dividend per Share4,726.554,726.554,726.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.27537.47838.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,812.825,264.025,564.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$601,245.10$1,121,236.30$1,196,436.59
Upside / Downside1,208.48%2,340.12%2,503.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)569,573.00606,595.25646,023.94688,015.49732,736.50780,364.37803,775.30
Payout Ratio78.57%80.85%83.14%85.43%87.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)447,491.00490,449.48537,101.90587,747.00642,706.70702,327.93743,492.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)456,858.90461,189.31465,519.73
Year 2 PV (M)466,049.79474,926.73483,887.41
Year 3 PV (M)475,065.90488,703.33502,599.29
Year 4 PV (M)483,909.42502,519.21521,660.67
Year 5 PV (M)492,582.53516,374.45541,076.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,591,362.3916,344,431.0217,126,321.36
Equity Value (M)17,965,828.9318,788,144.0619,641,065.41
Shares Outstanding (M)94.6894.6894.68
Fair Value$189,761.17$198,446.75$207,455.59
Upside / Downside312.97%331.88%351.48%

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