Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korea District Heating Corp. (071320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$567,069.20 - $1,294,397.27$826,003.76
Multi-Stage$752,079.89 - $826,012.57$788,343.43
Blended Fair Value$807,173.59
Current Price$90,300.00
Upside793.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.53%1,715.66940.35807.99978.31152.020.002,858.893,852.403,669.922,139.10
YoY Growth--82.45%16.38%-17.41%543.54%0.00%-100.00%-25.79%4.97%71.56%-29.43%
Dividend Yield--3.46%2.51%3.00%2.68%0.40%0.00%4.69%4.58%5.49%3.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327,691.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,200.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)263,490.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65,538.2440,961.4024,576.84
Cash Retained (M)263,490.44263,490.44263,490.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-65,538.24-40,961.40-24,576.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)197,952.20222,529.04238,913.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share17,331.9219,483.7720,918.34
LTM Dividend per Share5,621.175,621.175,621.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share17,331.9219,483.7720,918.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend22,953.0925,104.9426,539.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.19%3.19%4.19%
Fair Value$567,069.20$826,003.76$1,294,397.27
Upside / Downside527.98%814.73%1,333.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327,691.19338,133.49348,908.54360,026.96371,499.68383,337.99394,838.13
Payout Ratio19.59%33.67%47.76%61.84%75.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,200.75113,861.30166,621.65222,628.93282,036.50345,004.19365,225.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.19%3.19%4.19%
Year 1 PV (M)106,052.37107,090.20108,128.03
Year 2 PV (M)144,550.59147,393.58150,264.26
Year 3 PV (M)179,893.00185,226.16190,663.70
Year 4 PV (M)212,266.87220,698.62229,379.11
Year 5 PV (M)241,849.66253,917.28266,461.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,705,079.948,089,541.548,489,199.09
Equity Value (M)8,589,692.429,003,867.389,434,096.04
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
Fair Value$752,079.89$788,343.43$826,012.57
Upside / Downside732.87%773.03%814.74%

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