Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Infinity Development Holdings Company Limited (0640.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.72 - $138.77$130.04
Multi-Stage$20.74 - $22.68$21.69
Blended Fair Value$75.87
Current Price$1.88
Upside3,935.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.69%16.89%0.150.130.090.160.110.060.050.050.050.04
YoY Growth--14.93%42.55%-40.50%47.36%93.53%19.42%-1.50%-12.50%49.65%11.23%
Dividend Yield--10.55%10.64%7.02%11.97%8.25%4.13%3.46%2.43%2.36%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)196.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.3124.5714.74
Cash Retained (M)94.4994.4994.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.31-24.57-14.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.1869.9279.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)281.67281.67281.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.72$130.04$138.77
Upside / Downside3,076.65%6,817.28%7,281.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)196.54209.31222.91237.40252.84269.27277.35
Payout Ratio51.92%59.54%67.15%74.77%82.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.05124.62149.70177.51208.30242.34256.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)115.93117.03118.13
Year 2 PV (M)129.55132.02134.51
Year 3 PV (M)142.90147.01151.19
Year 4 PV (M)156.00162.00168.17
Year 5 PV (M)168.84177.00185.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,127.165,374.805,631.92
Equity Value (M)5,840.386,109.856,389.38
Shares Outstanding (M)281.67281.67281.67
Fair Value$20.74$21.69$22.68
Upside / Downside1,002.93%1,053.82%1,106.61%

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