Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited (0631.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.60 - $163.12$152.87
Multi-Stage$24.77 - $27.11$25.92
Blended Fair Value$89.40
Current Price$6.16
Upside1,351.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.56%0.00%0.170.200.130.120.110.090.120.000.000.00
YoY Growth---13.02%56.33%3.43%14.38%22.67%-27.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%2.92%1.78%1.99%2.19%2.28%5.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,028.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,165.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,862.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)605.73378.58227.15
Cash Retained (M)1,862.721,862.721,862.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-605.73-378.58-227.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,256.981,484.131,635.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,692.443,692.443,692.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.60$152.87$163.12
Upside / Downside1,143.58%2,381.68%2,548.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,028.673,225.543,435.203,658.493,896.294,149.554,274.03
Payout Ratio38.50%48.80%59.10%69.40%79.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,165.961,573.992,030.152,538.953,105.323,734.593,953.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,465.371,479.261,493.15
Year 2 PV (M)1,759.621,793.141,826.97
Year 3 PV (M)2,048.772,107.582,167.51
Year 4 PV (M)2,332.872,422.592,514.87
Year 5 PV (M)2,612.002,738.162,869.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,237.8385,161.6589,235.64
Equity Value (M)91,456.4695,702.38100,107.28
Shares Outstanding (M)3,692.443,692.443,692.44
Fair Value$24.77$25.92$27.11
Upside / Downside302.09%320.75%340.12%

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