Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hanatour Service Inc. (039130.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$291,018.54 - $872,088.77$817,274.89
Multi-Stage$120,384.58 - $131,643.02$125,910.89
Blended Fair Value$471,592.89
Current Price$50,200.00
Upside839.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.69%18.72%5,077.6317.8722.76191.90481.15954.561,171.681,101.651,089.251,038.36
YoY Growth--28,314.02%-21.47%-88.14%-60.12%-49.59%-18.53%6.36%1.14%4.90%13.75%
Dividend Yield--9.44%0.03%0.04%0.23%0.74%2.67%1.67%0.95%1.42%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,933.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37,487.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,445.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,586.618,491.635,094.98
Cash Retained (M)30,445.5130,445.5130,445.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,586.61-8,491.63-5,094.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,858.9021,953.8825,350.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.4915.4915.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,088.251,417.131,636.39
LTM Dividend per Share2,419.842,419.842,419.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,088.251,417.131,636.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,508.093,836.974,056.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$291,018.54$817,274.89$872,088.77
Upside / Downside479.72%1,528.04%1,637.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,933.0372,348.6877,051.3482,059.6887,393.5693,074.1495,866.36
Payout Ratio55.18%62.15%69.11%76.07%83.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37,487.5244,962.1353,250.0562,425.4472,568.6583,766.7288,676.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41,715.1142,110.5142,505.92
Year 2 PV (M)45,836.6746,709.7347,591.02
Year 3 PV (M)49,854.1251,285.2652,743.52
Year 4 PV (M)53,769.3755,837.1957,964.09
Year 5 PV (M)57,584.2860,365.6263,253.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,616,208.241,694,271.701,775,322.83
Equity Value (M)1,864,967.791,950,580.012,039,380.79
Shares Outstanding (M)15.4915.4915.49
Fair Value$120,384.58$125,910.89$131,643.02
Upside / Downside139.81%150.82%162.24%

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