Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kginicis Co.,Ltd (035600.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74,040.36 - $381,153.61$150,752.84
Multi-Stage$41,212.35 - $45,063.31$43,102.69
Blended Fair Value$96,927.77
Current Price$10,600.00
Upside814.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.99%9.62%565.12545.12400.06495.11441.24422.51259.23246.99186.67241.54
YoY Growth--3.67%36.26%-19.20%12.21%4.43%62.98%4.96%32.32%-22.72%7.08%
Dividend Yield--6.73%4.64%3.15%2.13%2.25%2.25%1.91%1.18%1.63%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51,007.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,045.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)33,962.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,201.506,375.943,825.56
Cash Retained (M)33,962.0033,962.0033,962.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,201.50-6,375.94-3,825.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)23,760.5027,586.0730,136.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.6126.6126.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share892.771,036.511,132.34
LTM Dividend per Share640.47640.47640.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share892.771,036.511,132.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,533.241,676.981,772.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$74,040.36$150,752.84$381,153.61
Upside / Downside598.49%1,322.20%3,495.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51,007.5054,322.9957,853.9961,614.5065,619.4469,884.7071,981.24
Payout Ratio33.42%44.73%56.05%67.37%78.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,045.5024,300.9032,427.4941,507.8751,631.6962,896.2366,582.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22,354.8222,566.7222,778.61
Year 2 PV (M)27,441.7027,964.3928,492.01
Year 3 PV (M)32,312.9733,240.5634,185.73
Year 4 PV (M)36,975.2938,397.2539,859.84
Year 5 PV (M)41,435.1343,436.4645,514.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)936,315.95981,540.361,028,495.62
Equity Value (M)1,096,835.861,147,145.741,199,326.19
Shares Outstanding (M)26.6126.6126.61
Fair Value$41,212.35$43,102.69$45,063.31
Upside / Downside288.80%306.63%325.13%

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