Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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FSE Lifestyle Services Limited (0331.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.66 - $30.42$24.65
Multi-Stage$44.32 - $48.82$46.53
Blended Fair Value$35.59
Current Price$5.70
Upside524.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.440.490.370.600.290.360.350.280.05
YoY Growth---100.00%-10.08%31.35%-37.84%105.80%-18.78%2.35%24.64%458.22%-92.53%
Dividend Yield--0.00%7.78%8.06%7.18%9.52%9.27%10.89%12.79%11.78%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)950.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)301.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)648.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)190.01118.7671.25
Cash Retained (M)648.65648.65648.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-190.01-118.76-71.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)458.64529.89577.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.181.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.181.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.691.851.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$19.66$24.65$30.42
Upside / Downside244.87%332.40%433.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)950.05940.55931.15921.83912.62903.49930.59
Payout Ratio31.73%43.38%55.04%66.69%78.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)301.40408.01512.46614.77714.99813.14860.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)379.52383.40387.27
Year 2 PV (M)443.39452.49461.68
Year 3 PV (M)494.78510.08525.70
Year 4 PV (M)535.26557.45580.31
Year 5 PV (M)566.24595.72626.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,526.1118,438.7419,388.99
Equity Value (M)19,945.3220,937.8821,970.38
Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
Fair Value$44.32$46.53$48.82
Upside / Downside677.60%716.29%756.54%

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