Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

PAX Global Technology Limited (0327.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.48 - $67.60$43.01
Multi-Stage$40.38 - $44.29$42.30
Blended Fair Value$42.65
Current Price$6.05
Upside605.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.61%0.00%0.460.400.320.320.130.080.080.080.060.02
YoY Growth--16.53%24.58%-1.58%149.18%59.98%0.00%-1.17%32.82%201.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.61%6.65%4.72%5.86%1.89%2.22%2.87%2.30%1.20%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,608.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)992.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)616.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)321.77201.10120.66
Cash Retained (M)616.75616.75616.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-321.77-201.10-120.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.98415.64496.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Fair Value$29.48$43.01$67.60
Upside / Downside387.24%610.84%1,017.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,608.831,659.981,712.771,767.231,823.421,881.401,937.84
Payout Ratio61.66%67.33%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)992.081,117.701,250.301,390.211,537.741,693.261,792.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,041.311,051.501,061.69
Year 2 PV (M)1,085.241,106.581,128.14
Year 3 PV (M)1,124.201,157.531,191.52
Year 4 PV (M)1,158.521,204.551,251.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,188.501,247.811,309.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,177.4540,082.5242,062.90
Equity Value (M)43,775.2245,850.4948,005.63
Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
Fair Value$40.38$42.30$44.29
Upside / Downside567.51%599.16%632.02%

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