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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Card Co., Ltd. (029780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139,689.81 - $389,885.57$216,907.16
Multi-Stage$96,696.73 - $105,527.69$101,032.55
Blended Fair Value$158,969.86
Current Price$49,400.00
Upside221.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.33%12.69%2,397.242,397.242,205.461,726.011,534.231,534.961,477.431,477.431,555.481,036.98
YoY Growth--0.00%8.70%27.78%12.50%-0.05%3.89%0.00%-5.02%50.00%42.86%
Dividend Yield--5.99%6.52%7.25%5.34%4.45%5.13%4.19%4.12%3.97%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)637,456.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)298,790.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)338,666.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127,491.3779,682.1147,809.27
Cash Retained (M)338,666.87338,666.87338,666.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-127,491.37-79,682.11-47,809.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)211,175.50258,984.76290,857.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.29111.29111.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,897.612,327.222,613.63
LTM Dividend per Share2,684.912,684.912,684.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,897.612,327.222,613.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,582.525,012.135,298.54
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139,689.81$216,907.16$389,885.57
Upside / Downside182.77%339.08%689.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)637,456.87678,891.57723,019.52770,015.79820,066.82873,371.16899,572.30
Payout Ratio46.87%55.50%64.12%72.75%81.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)298,790.00376,769.56463,624.08560,177.84667,324.77786,034.05832,104.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)342,537.32345,784.12349,030.91
Year 2 PV (M)383,204.10390,503.06397,870.88
Year 3 PV (M)420,941.90433,025.63445,338.43
Year 4 PV (M)455,895.77473,428.23491,461.59
Year 5 PV (M)488,204.48511,784.93536,267.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,670,112.239,088,881.899,523,678.85
Equity Value (M)10,760,895.7911,243,407.8711,743,648.54
Shares Outstanding (M)111.29111.29111.29
Fair Value$96,696.73$101,032.55$105,527.69
Upside / Downside95.74%104.52%113.62%

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