Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Pan Ocean Co., Ltd. (028670.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,193.35 - $108,912.93$39,593.71
Multi-Stage$11,383.68 - $12,452.85$11,908.48
Blended Fair Value$25,751.10
Current Price$3,715.00
Upside593.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%35.31%84.97149.9599.9751.520.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.33%50.00%94.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.52%3.62%1.72%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)292,829.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,139.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)228,690.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58,565.8036,603.6321,962.18
Cash Retained (M)228,690.00228,690.00228,690.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-58,565.80-36,603.63-21,962.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)170,124.20192,086.38206,727.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
LTM Dividend per Share119.95119.95119.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend438.12479.19506.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,193.35$39,593.71$108,912.93
Upside / Downside443.56%965.78%2,831.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)292,829.00311,862.89332,133.97353,722.68376,714.65401,201.11413,237.14
Payout Ratio21.90%35.52%49.14%62.76%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,139.00110,781.75163,217.06222,000.92287,737.08361,081.00382,244.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)101,811.51102,776.55103,741.59
Year 2 PV (M)137,855.12140,480.88143,131.40
Year 3 PV (M)172,322.03177,268.78182,309.30
Year 4 PV (M)205,262.94213,156.77221,276.13
Year 5 PV (M)236,727.12248,161.12260,032.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,232,938.195,485,691.075,748,117.38
Equity Value (M)6,086,916.916,367,535.166,658,608.53
Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
Fair Value$11,383.68$11,908.48$12,452.85
Upside / Downside206.42%220.55%235.20%

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