Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwon Metal Co., Ltd. (018500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,556.88 - $49,181.35$25,028.76
Multi-Stage$15,613.55 - $17,125.31$16,355.24
Blended Fair Value$20,692.00
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside1,496.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%5.72%49.5719.830.000.000.000.000.000.0050.5652.39
YoY Growth--150.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-3.50%84.42%
Dividend Yield--3.76%1.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.73%1.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,292.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,025.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,266.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,658.433,536.522,121.91
Cash Retained (M)21,266.4021,266.4021,266.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,658.43-3,536.52-2,121.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,607.9717,729.8819,144.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.1547.1547.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share331.01376.02406.02
LTM Dividend per Share149.00149.00149.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share331.01376.02406.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend480.02525.02555.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Fair Value$15,556.88$25,028.76$49,181.35
Upside / Downside1,100.38%1,831.23%3,694.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,292.1329,522.4130,806.2032,145.8133,543.6735,002.3136,052.38
Payout Ratio24.83%37.87%50.90%63.93%76.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,025.7311,179.0315,680.2620,551.8225,817.4131,502.0833,348.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Year 1 PV (M)10,392.5010,493.0610,593.62
Year 2 PV (M)13,551.4313,814.9514,081.00
Year 3 PV (M)16,511.9416,995.9017,489.23
Year 4 PV (M)19,283.0820,040.3220,819.64
Year 5 PV (M)21,873.5422,952.4624,073.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)654,597.42686,885.67720,435.63
Equity Value (M)736,209.93771,182.36807,492.66
Shares Outstanding (M)47.1547.1547.15
Fair Value$15,613.55$16,355.24$17,125.31
Upside / Downside1,104.75%1,161.98%1,221.40%

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