Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Aekyung Industrial Co., Ltd. (018250.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,491.27 - $13,887.81$11,611.35
Multi-Stage$16,841.42 - $18,492.25$17,650.85
Blended Fair Value$14,631.10
Current Price$15,960.00
Upside-8.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.75%0.00%580.28316.29204.06204.06462.63460.11290.51166.00124.500.00
YoY Growth--83.47%55.00%0.00%-55.89%0.55%58.38%75.00%33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.45%1.71%1.12%1.10%1.87%1.97%0.56%0.49%0.37%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32,117.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,611.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,505.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,423.424,014.642,408.78
Cash Retained (M)17,505.4417,505.4417,505.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,423.42-4,014.64-2,408.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,082.0113,490.8015,096.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.6925.6925.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share431.39525.16587.67
LTM Dividend per Share568.79568.79568.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share431.39525.16587.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,000.181,093.951,156.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9,491.27$11,611.35$13,887.81
Upside / Downside-40.53%-27.25%-12.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32,117.1231,795.9531,477.9931,163.2130,851.5830,543.0731,459.36
Payout Ratio45.50%54.40%63.30%72.20%81.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,611.6917,295.7319,924.6322,499.2225,020.3327,488.7629,099.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15,804.9215,966.2016,127.47
Year 2 PV (M)16,637.8516,979.1317,323.87
Year 3 PV (M)17,168.3217,699.2618,241.04
Year 4 PV (M)17,446.4418,169.5118,914.83
Year 5 PV (M)17,515.4918,427.5719,377.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)348,066.03366,190.63385,062.53
Equity Value (M)432,639.05453,432.29475,046.98
Shares Outstanding (M)25.6925.6925.69
Fair Value$16,841.42$17,650.85$18,492.25
Upside / Downside5.52%10.59%15.87%

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