Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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INVENI Co., Ltd. (015360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201,527.63 - $325,747.71$257,429.01
Multi-Stage$420,798.06 - $463,527.14$441,743.45
Blended Fair Value$349,586.23
Current Price$61,000.00
Upside473.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.78%11.69%4,657.7311,271.352,218.941,972.391,725.841,479.291,751.362,965.091,467.401,476.45
YoY Growth---58.68%407.96%12.50%14.29%16.67%-15.53%-40.93%102.06%-0.61%-4.28%
Dividend Yield--10.14%29.28%6.98%5.45%5.12%5.05%4.27%6.99%3.96%3.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81,528.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,843.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)68,685.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,305.6010,191.006,114.60
Cash Retained (M)68,685.0268,685.0268,685.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,305.60-10,191.00-6,114.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,379.4158,494.0162,570.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.334.334.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share12,109.4513,523.0614,465.48
LTM Dividend per Share2,969.142,969.142,969.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share12,109.4513,523.0614,465.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend15,078.5816,492.2017,434.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Fair Value$201,527.63$257,429.01$325,747.71
Upside / Downside230.37%322.01%434.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81,528.0281,466.1581,404.3481,342.5781,280.8581,219.1883,655.75
Payout Ratio15.75%30.60%45.45%60.30%75.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,843.0024,930.5136,999.6749,050.5061,083.0373,097.2677,381.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)23,212.6423,447.2923,681.94
Year 2 PV (M)32,076.3232,728.1033,386.44
Year 3 PV (M)39,593.4640,806.3742,043.79
Year 4 PV (M)45,908.5947,793.2449,735.33
Year 5 PV (M)51,152.6153,790.8656,536.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,628,218.381,712,195.441,799,602.27
Equity Value (M)1,820,162.011,910,761.302,004,986.63
Shares Outstanding (M)4.334.334.33
Fair Value$420,798.06$441,743.45$463,527.14
Upside / Downside589.83%624.17%659.88%

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