Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Youngbo Chemical Co., Ltd. (014440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,200.55 - $8,905.94$7,522.92
Multi-Stage$17,099.04 - $18,878.37$17,970.68
Blended Fair Value$12,746.80
Current Price$4,420.00
Upside188.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.94%-6.70%50.0550.05100.1175.08103.70100.11100.11100.38100.11100.11
YoY Growth--0.00%-50.00%33.33%-27.60%3.59%0.00%-0.28%0.28%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.37%2.81%1.54%2.48%4.51%2.62%2.10%1.95%2.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,827.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,825.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,001.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,565.502,228.441,337.06
Cash Retained (M)11,001.8711,001.8711,001.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,565.50-2,228.44-1,337.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,436.378,773.449,664.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.4819.4819.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share381.75450.39496.15
LTM Dividend per Share350.40350.40350.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share381.75450.39496.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend732.15800.79846.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-4.88%-3.88%-2.88%
Fair Value$6,200.55$7,522.92$8,905.94
Upside / Downside40.28%70.20%101.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,827.5117,136.2216,471.7315,833.0115,219.0614,628.9115,067.78
Payout Ratio38.29%48.63%58.97%69.31%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,825.648,333.299,713.7510,974.6212,123.1113,166.0213,937.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-4.88%-3.88%-2.88%
Year 1 PV (M)7,753.897,835.407,916.92
Year 2 PV (M)8,409.958,587.708,767.31
Year 3 PV (M)8,840.969,122.739,410.42
Year 4 PV (M)9,087.139,475.329,875.82
Year 5 PV (M)9,182.709,675.6410,189.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)289,806.02305,363.03321,581.07
Equity Value (M)333,080.65350,059.82367,741.06
Shares Outstanding (M)19.4819.4819.48
Fair Value$17,099.04$17,970.68$18,878.37
Upside / Downside286.86%306.58%327.11%

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