Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd (009900.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47,075.77 - $171,972.00$78,603.64
Multi-Stage$29,369.32 - $32,132.02$30,725.41
Blended Fair Value$54,664.53
Current Price$8,200.00
Upside566.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%31.86%99.890.000.000.000.000.006.2912.586.2912.58
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%100.00%-50.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86,489.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,870.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)78,619.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,297.9510,811.226,486.73
Cash Retained (M)78,619.2378,619.2378,619.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,297.95-10,811.22-6,486.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)61,321.2867,808.0172,132.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.5352.5352.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,167.431,290.921,373.25
LTM Dividend per Share149.84149.84149.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,167.431,290.921,373.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,317.271,440.761,523.09
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47,075.77$78,603.64$171,972.00
Upside / Downside474.09%858.58%1,997.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86,489.7592,111.5898,098.84104,475.26111,266.15118,498.45122,053.41
Payout Ratio9.10%25.28%41.46%57.64%73.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,870.5223,285.7740,671.7560,219.5282,136.66106,648.61112,899.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21,269.4121,471.0221,672.62
Year 2 PV (M)33,933.0334,579.3635,231.79
Year 3 PV (M)45,891.4847,208.8648,551.22
Year 4 PV (M)57,173.7759,372.5161,634.07
Year 5 PV (M)67,807.8471,082.9874,483.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,316,599.161,380,191.391,446,217.44
Equity Value (M)1,542,674.691,613,906.121,687,790.61
Shares Outstanding (M)52.5352.5352.53
Fair Value$29,369.32$30,725.41$32,132.02
Upside / Downside258.16%274.70%291.85%

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