Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samjin Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (005500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58,053.35 - $310,885.20$114,530.25
Multi-Stage$66,476.44 - $72,980.70$69,667.02
Blended Fair Value$92,098.64
Current Price$18,810.00
Upside389.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.76%7.45%828.68858.26798.05798.05798.05798.05798.05706.81605.84504.86
YoY Growth---3.45%7.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%12.91%16.67%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--4.70%4.23%3.76%3.16%3.28%3.57%2.03%1.64%1.87%1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,743.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,806.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,936.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,948.632,467.891,480.73
Cash Retained (M)9,936.969,936.969,936.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,948.63-2,467.89-1,480.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,988.337,469.078,456.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3312.3312.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share485.56605.63685.67
LTM Dividend per Share795.13795.13795.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share485.56605.63685.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,280.701,400.761,480.80
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Fair Value$58,053.35$114,530.25$310,885.20
Upside / Downside208.63%508.88%1,552.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,743.1320,527.2721,342.5522,190.2123,071.5423,987.8724,707.50
Payout Ratio49.67%57.74%65.80%73.87%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,806.1711,851.4214,043.6716,391.3518,903.3821,589.0822,854.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Year 1 PV (M)11,152.6711,260.9711,369.28
Year 2 PV (M)12,436.4612,679.1912,924.26
Year 3 PV (M)13,659.6514,061.4914,471.13
Year 4 PV (M)14,824.2315,408.5316,009.94
Year 5 PV (M)15,932.1816,720.9717,540.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)751,832.11789,054.83827,737.46
Equity Value (M)819,837.29859,185.98900,052.77
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3312.3312.33
Fair Value$66,476.44$69,667.02$72,980.70
Upside / Downside253.41%270.37%287.99%

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