Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Green Food Co.,Ltd. (005440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$342,812.64 - $680,950.65$638,150.48
Multi-Stage$103,744.14 - $113,654.77$108,607.99
Blended Fair Value$373,379.24
Current Price$8,030.00
Upside4,549.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.50%33.44%501.25121.97125.07133.80141.52167.5970.6440.4739.8333.59
YoY Growth--310.96%-2.48%-6.52%-5.45%-15.56%137.25%74.54%1.61%18.57%20.01%
Dividend Yield--9.77%2.78%2.89%1.49%1.34%2.55%0.50%0.29%0.25%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)533,853.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78,211.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)455,642.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106,770.6766,731.6740,039.00
Cash Retained (M)455,642.08455,642.08455,642.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-106,770.67-66,731.67-40,039.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)348,871.42388,910.42415,603.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
LTM Dividend per Share501.63501.63501.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,739.212,996.013,167.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$342,812.64$638,150.48$680,950.65
Upside / Downside4,169.15%7,847.08%8,380.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)533,853.33568,553.79605,509.79644,867.92686,784.34731,425.32753,368.08
Payout Ratio14.65%29.72%44.79%59.86%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78,211.24168,975.66271,209.01386,018.78514,607.95658,282.79696,865.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)157,404.86158,896.85160,388.84
Year 2 PV (M)235,338.03239,820.56244,345.37
Year 3 PV (M)312,025.74320,982.87330,109.81
Year 4 PV (M)387,482.84402,384.34417,711.56
Year 5 PV (M)461,724.03484,025.47507,180.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,621,239.4915,327,450.8316,060,690.53
Equity Value (M)16,175,214.9916,933,560.9217,720,426.56
Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
Fair Value$103,744.14$108,607.99$113,654.77
Upside / Downside1,191.96%1,252.53%1,315.38%

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