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Definitive Analysis

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Computer And Technologies Holdings Limited (0046.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.56 - $2.20$1.88
Multi-Stage$4.24 - $4.67$4.45
Blended Fair Value$3.17
Current Price$1.51
Upside109.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.44%-3.60%0.110.180.180.180.130.210.150.200.140.16
YoY Growth---40.00%2.83%-2.92%38.64%-38.03%43.81%-25.52%43.06%-12.33%0.26%
Dividend Yield--7.14%7.23%7.38%6.66%5.55%6.81%5.13%6.96%5.17%5.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.557.854.71
Cash Retained (M)9.109.109.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.55-7.85-4.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.451.264.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)244.36244.36244.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-5.58%-4.58%-3.58%
Fair Value$1.56$1.88$2.20
Upside / Downside3.57%24.52%45.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.7759.9057.1554.5352.0349.6551.14
Payout Ratio85.50%86.40%87.30%88.20%89.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.6751.7549.8948.1046.3644.6947.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-5.58%-4.58%-3.58%
Year 1 PV (M)47.9448.4448.95
Year 2 PV (M)42.8143.7244.64
Year 3 PV (M)38.2339.4640.71
Year 4 PV (M)34.1335.6037.12
Year 5 PV (M)30.4732.1233.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)843.42889.04936.62
Equity Value (M)1,037.001,088.391,141.88
Shares Outstanding (M)244.36244.36244.36
Fair Value$4.24$4.45$4.67
Upside / Downside181.05%194.97%209.47%

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