Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sebang Co., Ltd (004360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62,801.75 - $153,229.93$93,521.63
Multi-Stage$43,389.24 - $47,433.15$45,374.42
Blended Fair Value$69,448.02
Current Price$14,810.00
Upside368.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS69.99%6.56%309.35273.73204.93204.27185.3321.80185.33186.88187.78161.81
YoY Growth--13.01%33.57%0.32%10.22%750.31%-88.24%-0.83%-0.48%16.05%-1.27%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.30%0.45%1.73%1.40%0.28%1.27%1.35%1.19%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62,256.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,052.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)55,203.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,451.367,782.104,669.26
Cash Retained (M)55,203.7955,203.7955,203.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,451.36-7,782.10-4,669.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)42,752.4347,421.6950,534.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,976.242,192.072,335.97
LTM Dividend per Share326.03326.03326.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,976.242,192.072,335.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,302.262,518.102,661.99
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$62,801.75$93,521.63$153,229.93
Upside / Downside324.05%531.48%934.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62,256.7866,303.4770,613.2075,203.0680,091.2685,297.1987,856.10
Payout Ratio11.33%27.06%42.80%58.53%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,052.9917,943.7730,220.5644,017.5159,480.3976,767.4781,266.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16,252.8016,406.8516,560.91
Year 2 PV (M)24,793.1225,265.3625,742.06
Year 3 PV (M)32,709.1033,648.0734,604.83
Year 4 PV (M)40,034.2241,573.8243,157.41
Year 5 PV (M)46,800.3549,060.8351,407.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)778,060.61815,641.23854,660.15
Equity Value (M)938,650.21981,596.161,026,133.16
Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
Fair Value$43,389.24$45,374.42$47,433.15
Upside / Downside192.97%206.38%220.28%

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