Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yuanta Securities Korea Co., Ltd. (003470.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,435.75 - $8,024.62$5,932.49
Multi-Stage$6,937.01 - $7,606.52$7,265.42
Blended Fair Value$6,598.95
Current Price$3,695.00
Upside78.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%183.30113.23183.30128.240.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--61.88%-38.23%42.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.19%4.19%6.87%3.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64,644.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,738.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)22,906.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,928.988,080.614,848.37
Cash Retained (M)22,906.0122,906.0122,906.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,928.98-8,080.61-4,848.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,977.0414,825.4018,057.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)205.29205.29205.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.6072.2287.96
LTM Dividend per Share203.32203.32203.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.6072.2287.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend251.92275.54291.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Fair Value$4,435.75$5,932.49$8,024.62
Upside / Downside20.05%60.55%117.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64,644.8866,021.7867,428.0168,864.1970,330.9671,828.9873,983.85
Payout Ratio64.57%69.65%74.74%79.83%84.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,738.8645,986.2250,395.5854,971.9159,720.3364,646.0868,435.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Year 1 PV (M)42,607.3843,028.6943,450.00
Year 2 PV (M)43,261.9944,121.8044,990.06
Year 3 PV (M)43,723.2045,033.1146,368.92
Year 4 PV (M)44,009.8945,776.6147,595.99
Year 5 PV (M)44,139.4946,365.4048,680.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,206,343.631,267,178.131,330,442.50
Equity Value (M)1,424,085.581,491,503.731,561,527.68
Shares Outstanding (M)205.29205.29205.29
Fair Value$6,937.01$7,265.42$7,606.52
Upside / Downside87.74%96.63%105.86%

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