Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Harim Holdings Co., Ltd. (003380.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$204,927.43 - $241,439.23$226,263.92
Multi-Stage$62,695.61 - $68,724.83$65,654.32
Blended Fair Value$145,959.12
Current Price$7,340.00
Upside1,888.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.34%0.00%389.69579.12450.75228.9982.13121.06194.1588.384.230.00
YoY Growth---32.71%28.48%96.84%178.82%-32.16%-37.65%119.68%1,991.35%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.97%8.53%2.81%2.18%0.89%2.37%1.64%0.61%0.02%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118,104.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43,482.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)74,622.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,620.8014,763.008,857.80
Cash Retained (M)74,622.0074,622.0074,622.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,620.80-14,763.00-8,857.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)51,001.2059,859.0065,764.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.2897.2897.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share524.26615.31676.01
LTM Dividend per Share446.96446.96446.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share524.26615.31676.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend971.221,062.271,122.97
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$204,927.43$226,263.92$241,439.23
Upside / Downside2,691.93%2,982.61%3,189.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118,104.00125,780.76133,956.51142,663.68151,936.82161,812.72166,667.10
Payout Ratio36.82%47.45%58.09%68.73%79.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43,482.0059,687.2077,815.3798,048.01120,582.14145,631.44154,167.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)56,298.4456,832.0857,365.71
Year 2 PV (M)69,230.2270,548.8671,879.94
Year 3 PV (M)82,278.1184,640.0187,046.70
Year 4 PV (M)95,442.9099,113.36102,888.69
Year 5 PV (M)108,725.39113,976.86119,429.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,687,242.265,961,938.196,247,147.38
Equity Value (M)6,099,217.316,387,049.376,685,757.74
Shares Outstanding (M)97.2897.2897.28
Fair Value$62,695.61$65,654.32$68,724.83
Upside / Downside754.16%794.47%836.31%

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