Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (002483.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.78 - $102.24$95.82
Multi-Stage$61.69 - $67.68$64.63
Blended Fair Value$80.23
Current Price$7.11
Upside1,028.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.41%10.52%0.140.100.130.110.050.050.050.060.010.04
YoY Growth--38.76%-20.60%20.63%101.96%-1.70%0.27%-15.98%404.08%-69.91%-19.38%
Dividend Yield--2.07%2.18%2.42%1.43%1.13%1.13%1.15%1.33%0.14%0.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)454.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)287.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)166.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.8556.7834.07
Cash Retained (M)166.25166.25166.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.85-56.78-34.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.40109.47132.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)883.53883.53883.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.78$95.82$102.24
Upside / Downside1,120.57%1,247.66%1,338.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)454.23483.76515.20548.69584.36622.34641.01
Payout Ratio63.40%68.72%74.04%79.36%84.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)287.99332.44381.46435.44494.83560.11592.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)324.41327.49330.56
Year 2 PV (M)363.26370.18377.16
Year 3 PV (M)404.65416.27428.10
Year 4 PV (M)448.74466.00483.75
Year 5 PV (M)495.66519.60544.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,471.5455,005.9457,637.33
Equity Value (M)54,508.2757,105.4759,801.37
Shares Outstanding (M)883.53883.53883.53
Fair Value$61.69$64.63$67.68
Upside / Downside767.71%809.05%851.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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