Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kiswire Ltd. (002240.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,883.44 - $27,374.17$22,316.47
Multi-Stage$23,654.40 - $25,941.36$24,776.21
Blended Fair Value$23,546.34
Current Price$17,100.00
Upside37.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.49%5.71%338.80260.41269.28222.29259.34259.34233.42245.92233.42194.51
YoY Growth--30.10%-3.29%21.14%-14.29%0.00%11.10%-5.09%5.36%20.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.02%1.32%1.42%1.19%1.42%2.56%1.24%1.08%0.88%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,210.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,466.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,743.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,442.136,526.333,915.80
Cash Retained (M)42,743.7442,743.7442,743.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,442.13-6,526.33-3,915.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,301.6136,217.4138,827.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.9826.9826.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,197.041,342.161,438.90
LTM Dividend per Share350.83350.83350.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,197.041,342.161,438.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,547.871,692.981,789.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate0.63%1.63%2.63%
Fair Value$17,883.44$22,316.47$27,374.17
Upside / Downside4.58%30.51%60.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,210.6353,064.1653,931.6454,813.3155,709.3856,620.1158,318.71
Payout Ratio18.13%32.51%46.88%61.25%75.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,466.9017,248.8825,282.7633,574.7142,131.0150,958.1053,944.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate0.63%1.63%2.63%
Year 1 PV (M)15,619.5115,774.7215,929.93
Year 2 PV (M)20,731.8421,145.9121,564.07
Year 3 PV (M)24,930.5725,681.1826,446.70
Year 4 PV (M)28,328.8229,471.7230,648.86
Year 5 PV (M)31,027.4732,600.0034,235.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)517,663.93543,900.12571,189.45
Equity Value (M)638,302.13668,573.64700,014.66
Shares Outstanding (M)26.9826.9826.98
Fair Value$23,654.40$24,776.21$25,941.36
Upside / Downside38.33%44.89%51.70%

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