Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

China Haisum Engineering Co., Ltd. (002116.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.08 - $149.82$140.36
Multi-Stage$84.92 - $93.47$89.12
Blended Fair Value$114.74
Current Price$10.13
Upside1,032.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.12%8.22%0.270.170.130.080.060.230.200.180.270.14
YoY Growth--53.74%32.62%70.63%23.45%-72.85%13.90%10.00%-32.87%100.31%12.11%
Dividend Yield--2.67%1.65%1.20%0.77%0.96%3.02%1.77%1.92%1.77%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)356.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)212.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)71.3544.5926.76
Cash Retained (M)212.49212.49212.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-71.35-44.59-26.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)141.15167.90185.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)458.55458.55458.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate0.05%0.05%0.05%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Fair Value$127.08$140.36$149.82
Upside / Downside1,154.53%1,285.58%1,378.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)356.74367.78379.16390.89402.99415.46427.92
Payout Ratio40.43%50.35%60.26%70.17%80.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.25185.17228.48274.30322.74373.91395.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.05%0.05%0.05%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Year 1 PV (M)183.28185.07186.87
Year 2 PV (M)223.84228.25232.70
Year 3 PV (M)265.99273.88281.93
Year 4 PV (M)309.77322.08334.76
Year 5 PV (M)355.22372.96391.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,603.8839,481.9341,434.28
Equity Value (M)38,941.9840,864.1842,861.94
Shares Outstanding (M)458.55458.55458.55
Fair Value$84.92$89.12$93.47
Upside / Downside738.35%779.73%822.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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