Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Suzhou Gold Mantis Construction Decoration Co., Ltd. (002081.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.00 - $1.42$1.21
Multi-Stage$9.09 - $10.15$9.61
Blended Fair Value$5.41
Current Price$3.50
Upside54.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.34%1.92%0.130.130.040.250.260.250.190.180.180.07
YoY Growth---2.05%233.96%-84.08%-1.94%1.34%30.56%5.65%4.40%135.64%-31.15%
Dividend Yield--3.97%3.92%0.77%4.62%2.73%3.10%1.57%1.42%1.59%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)457.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)320.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)137.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91.4757.1734.30
Cash Retained (M)137.08137.08137.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-91.47-57.17-34.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.6079.91102.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,655.922,655.922,655.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate0.24%0.24%0.24%
Growth Rate-11.88%-10.88%-9.88%
Fair Value$1.00$1.21$1.42
Upside / Downside-71.39%-65.51%-59.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)457.37407.61363.26323.74288.51257.12264.84
Payout Ratio70.03%74.02%78.02%82.01%86.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)320.29301.73283.41265.50248.14231.41244.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.24%0.24%0.24%
Growth Rate-11.88%-10.88%-9.88%
Year 1 PV (M)297.61300.99304.37
Year 2 PV (M)275.74282.03288.39
Year 3 PV (M)254.79263.57272.54
Year 4 PV (M)234.89245.73256.95
Year 5 PV (M)216.07228.61241.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,873.0624,200.6925,589.26
Equity Value (M)24,152.1625,521.6226,953.24
Shares Outstanding (M)2,655.922,655.922,655.92
Fair Value$9.09$9.61$10.15
Upside / Downside159.82%174.55%189.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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