Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wangneng Environment Co., Ltd. (002034.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.14 - $260.67$140.32
Multi-Stage$30.35 - $33.20$31.75
Blended Fair Value$86.04
Current Price$16.78
Upside412.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS56.00%20.51%0.840.660.280.460.090.090.130.080.120.00
YoY Growth--28.08%133.64%-38.96%400.71%1.01%-32.00%77.56%-36.13%2,926.09%-97.00%
Dividend Yield--4.54%4.77%1.57%2.49%0.50%0.70%0.72%0.28%0.37%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)599.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)394.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.9774.9844.99
Cash Retained (M)394.72394.72394.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.97-74.98-44.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)274.75319.74349.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.14$140.32$260.67
Upside / Downside252.46%736.25%1,453.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)599.87638.86680.38724.61771.71821.87846.52
Payout Ratio34.20%45.36%56.52%67.68%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.14289.78384.55490.41608.41739.68783.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)267.35269.89272.42
Year 2 PV (M)327.33333.56339.86
Year 3 PV (M)385.14396.19407.46
Year 4 PV (M)440.83457.78475.22
Year 5 PV (M)494.47518.35543.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,976.9912,555.4913,156.12
Equity Value (M)13,892.1014,531.2615,194.22
Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
Fair Value$30.35$31.75$33.20
Upside / Downside80.89%89.22%97.85%

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