Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. (002001.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$395.86 - $466.39$437.08
Multi-Stage$114.91 - $125.96$120.33
Blended Fair Value$278.71
Current Price$23.83
Upside1,069.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.60%15.15%0.540.600.690.600.450.560.310.230.090.14
YoY Growth---9.27%-14.04%16.64%32.95%-19.77%79.23%33.77%165.55%-35.80%3.39%
Dividend Yield--2.42%3.49%3.87%2.26%1.69%2.95%2.34%1.71%1.08%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,199.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,357.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,842.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,439.95899.97539.98
Cash Retained (M)4,842.714,842.714,842.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,439.95-899.97-539.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,402.763,942.744,302.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,070.073,070.073,070.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.111.281.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.111.281.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.882.052.17
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$395.86$437.08$466.39
Upside / Downside1,561.19%1,734.14%1,857.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,199.757,667.738,166.148,696.939,262.239,864.2810,160.21
Payout Ratio32.74%44.19%55.64%67.10%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,357.043,388.394,543.855,835.227,275.268,877.859,398.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,192.893,223.153,253.42
Year 2 PV (M)4,034.654,111.504,189.07
Year 3 PV (M)4,882.355,022.505,165.32
Year 4 PV (M)5,736.025,956.616,183.51
Year 5 PV (M)6,595.706,914.287,245.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)328,344.84344,204.02360,670.17
Equity Value (M)352,786.45369,432.06386,706.52
Shares Outstanding (M)3,070.073,070.073,070.07
Fair Value$114.91$120.33$125.96
Upside / Downside382.21%404.97%428.58%

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